Saturday, June 24, 2017

Tropicana Field

Probable Pitchers: Dylan Bundy vs. Jacob Faria

The Baltimore Orioles visit Tropicana Field on Saturday, June 24, 2017 to play the Tampa Bay Rays. The probable starters are Dylan Bundy for the Orioles and Jacob Faria for the Rays.

The opening line for this matchup has Baltimore at +139 and Tampa Bay at -149. The Orioles have a 38-31-3 over/under record and a 32-40-0 run line mark. The Rays are 39-36-0 against the run line and have a 45-29-1 over/under record.

Valuable Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles are 38-31-3 against the over/under

The Baltimore Orioles are 32-40-0 against the run line

Important Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends

The Tampa Bay Rays are 45-29-1 against the over/under

The Tampa Bay Rays are 39-36-0 against the run line

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

06/19/17 SS J.J. Hardy Wrist 10-day DL (06/19)

06/16/17 P Mike Wright Shoulder 10-day DL (06/15)

06/13/17 1B Chris Davis Oblique 10-day DL (06/13)

06/10/17 P Darren O'Day Shoulder 10-day DL (06/07)

05/28/17 CF Anthony Santander Elbow 60-day DL (03/30)

05/28/17 P Zach Britton Forearm 60-day DL (05/05)

05/21/17 2B Ryan Flaherty Shoulder 10-day DL (05/19)

Key Tampa Bay Rays Injuries

06/21/17 2B Tim Beckham Hand "?" Friday vs. Baltimore Orioles

06/13/17 P Matt Andriese Hip 60-day DL (06/11)

06/09/17 CF Kevin Kiermaier Hip 10-day DL (06/09)

06/09/17 LF Rickie Weeks Jr. Shoulder 10-day DL (06/09)

06/07/17 SS Brad Miller Groin 10-day DL (06/07)

06/01/17 P Diego Moreno Shoulder 10-day DL (05/22)

06/01/17 P Kevin Gadea Elbow 60-day DL (03/26)

06/01/17 3B Matt Duffy Achilles 60-day DL (04/02)

06/01/17 P Shawn Tolleson Elbow 60-day DL (04/01)

05/18/17 P Xavier Cedeno Forearm 60-day DL (04/18)

04/03/17 P Brad Boxberger Side 60-day DL (04/02)

04/01/17 P Nathan Eovaldi Elbow 60-day DL (03/10)

04/01/17 C Wilson Ramos Knee 60-day DL (04/01)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Orioles have a 35-37 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Dylan Bundy has a 7-6 record with an earned run average of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.22. He has 65 strikeouts over his 92 innings pitched and he's given up 83 hits. He allows 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.64. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.30 and they have given up 285 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the bullpen and they've struck out 235 hitters and walked 106 batters. As a team, Baltimore allows 10.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.2 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.1. The Orioles pitchers collectively have given up 723 base hits and 365 earned runs. They have allowed 107 home runs this season, ranking them 5th in the league. Baltimore as a pitching staff has walked 276 batters and struck out 516. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.55 and their FIP as a unit is 5.11.

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Hitting Statistics

As a team Baltimore is hitting .255, good for 13th in the league. The Orioles hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Mark Trumbo is hitting .255 with an on-base percentage of .315. He has 73 hits this season in 286 at bats with 33 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .399 and an OPS+ of 90. Jonathan Schoop is hitting .292 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .345. He has totaled 75 hits and he has driven in 44 men in 257 at bats. His OPS+ is 132 while his slugging percentage is at .537. The Orioles have 641 hits, including 119 doubles and 103 home runs. Baltimore has walked 186 times so far this season and they have struck out 653 times as a unit. They have left 476 men on base and have a team OPS of .740. They score 4.49 runs per contest and have scored a total of 323 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Tampa Bay has a 39-36 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 1.37, Jacob Faria has a 3-0 record and a 0.97 WHIP. He has 22 strikeouts over the 19.2 innings he's pitched. He's also given up 15 hits. He allows 6.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 1.51. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.30 and they have given up 234 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .244 against the Rays bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 218 batters and walked 103 opposing hitters. As a team, Tampa Bay allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 4.08. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 646 base knocks and 305 earned runs this season. They have given up 82 home runs this year, which ranks 25th in Major League Baseball. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 246 hitters and struck out 611 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.10.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .255, good for 14th in the league. The Rays hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Corey Dickerson comes into this matchup batting .326 with an OBP of .365. He has 94 hits this year along with 37 RBI in 288 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .583 with an OPS+ of 153. Logan Morrison is hitting .247 this season and he has an OBP of .356. He has collected 59 hits in 239 at bats while driving in 51 runs. He has an OPS+ of 146 and a slugging percentage of .565. The Rays as a unit have 657 base hits, including 113 doubles and 115 homers. Tampa Bay has walked 273 times this year and they have struck out on 745 occasions. They have had 531 men left on base and have an OPS of .775. They have scored 4.8 runs per game and totaled 360 runs this season.

So what is Tonights Parlay prediction?

DOC'S SPORTS Pick: Take the Rays

3-unit Play Take #979 Detroit Tigers over San Diego Padres (10:10pm EST) We love fading the San Diego Padres, and today we get a steal of a price to do so. The Tigers have some holes, but they are leaps and bounds ahead of the Pads. Play Detroit here.

Best of Luck - Doc's Sports

4-unit Play Take #978 Seattle Mariners over Houston Astros (10:10pm EST) The Mariners have been playing better baseball and they're healthier than they were earlier in the season. In fact, they've won six straight games and are in 2nd place in the AL West now. On the flip side, we're trying to sell high on the Astros as the betting markets are moving their lines a bit too high. Lance McCullers returns from the disabled list today and he may be a little rusty against major league hitters. This price is high, so we're taking the underdog Mariners.

4-unit Play Take #967 Oakland A's over Chicago White Sox (2:10pm EST) James Shields was one of the worst pitchers in the American League last year. He finished 2016 at 6-19 with a 5.85 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP. He was dreadful. The White Sox decided they couldn't pay him big money for sitting on the bench, so Shields is in the rotation once again. In four starts, he owns a 2.42 ERA this year. But this isn't a turnaround story. Shields is almost as bad as he was last year. He's just been fortunate so far to avoid disaster. The veteran right-hander is stranding an amazing 98% of baserunners and has yielded a .203 BABIP in 22.1 innings of work. Both of those numbers are going to regress hard, and his ERA will be in the 5's again before we know it. Daniel Gossett of the A's will make his third career start today. He wasn't good in his first start, but last time out he was very effective against a very tough Astros lineup. The A's should be a bigger favorite in this one. Play Oakland.

4-unit Play Take #966 New York Yankees over Texas Rangers (1:05pm EST) The New York Yankees are 24-11 at home this season and they'll look to extend that tonight versus the Rangers. Texas was a bit of a fluke last year, and I think we're seeing the real Rangers in 2017. Texas was an unbelievable 36-11 in one-run games last year as they finished with a 95-67 record overall. This season, they are just 4-11 in one-run games and have been hovering around the .500 mark for most of the season. The Yankees offense has been special, led by the young Aaron Judge who is putting up MVP numbers. I like the matchup here for the Yanks.

3-unit Play Take #951 Cincinnati Reds over Washington Nationals (4:05pm EST) At first glance this line looks a little low, but the Reds are better than people think. They've struggled of late, but the offense is potent and they have one of the best infields in the game when you combine the offensive and defensive components. Homer Bailey is scheduled to make his first start of the season against Joe Ross of the Nats. Bailey is sort of a wild card with this being his 2017 debut, but Ross has been a complete mess. This one should be close, so we lean Cincinnati.