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Ben Burns |
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| Off a 5-1 showing in Wildcard Rd, incl. winners with his biggest side AND his biggest total, Ben has already attacked the Divisional Rd; it features his #1 NFL GAME OF THE YEAR! |
| FREE PICKS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
| Soccer | Jan 19, 2022 Manchester United vs. Brentford |
Manchester United -0½ -117 at BETVEGAS |
in 3h |
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I was set to play on United when these teams were going to play last month. Then, that game got postponed. I still favor the Red Devils. While they won't have Aaron Wan-Bissaka back yet, the Red Devil will see the return of Ronaldo and others. They'll miss Wan-Bissaka more, should he not return, in their next game, against West Ham. Brentford isn't in the same class. The Bees got off to a great start. However, they're currently missing some key players and have been playing poorly for some time now. In what should be a victory for the superior team, the price could easily be higher. Consider Manchester United. |
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| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NHL | Jan 18, 2022 Islanders vs Flyers |
Flyers +1½ -220 at Mirage |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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I'm playing PHILADELPHIA on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) With the Islanders favored on the moneyline, we're able to get an extra +1.5 goals with the Flyers. While we may not need them, those extra +1.5 goals could well prove invaluable. The Flyers have struggled recently. However, they're slowly getting healthier and they're going to be hungry. These same teams played yesterday and the Isles won 4-1. Note that prior to last night, seven of the Flyers' past 10 games had been decided by a single goal. Their last three games, prior to last night, were all 1-goal losses. To put that another way, the Flyers would have been 7-3 their last 10, entering last night, instead of 2-8, if getting +1.5 goals in each. The Isles entered last night's game off a 2-0 loss. Prior to that, their two previous games were both 1-goal wins. Throw in the fact that four straight meetings, prior to last night, between these teams had been decided by a single goal (all were tied after regulation) and you can certainly see how an extra +1.5 goals could well come in handy. Expect AT LEAST the "puck-line cover" from the highly motivated, revenge-minded home team. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Jan 18, 2022 Wolves vs Knicks |
OVER 214 -110 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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I'm playing on NY/Minnesota OVER the total. The Knicks are off a poor offensive game yesterday. The last time that they were off a loss, they responded by scoring 111 points. I expect them to again bounce back with a better offensive effort. Slowing down their guests will be another matter. The Wolves average 114.7 ppg (and allow 114.6) on the road. That's more than they average at home. In fact, that's actually the most ppg on the road (slightly more than the Nets) in the entire NBA. Over their past five games overall, the Wolves are averaging a whopping 125.6 ppg. While I won with the 'over,' in their last home game, the OVER is also now 15-6 in their road games. Look for those stats to improve on NBA TV, this evening. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Jan 18, 2022 Richmond vs Fordham |
Richmond -6½ -120 at Ace |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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I'm playing on RICHMOND. These team are at opposite ends of the conference spectrum. The Spiders are extremely talented. The Rams are not. Off a loss, the Spiders are going to be angry. They're 6-0 ATS their last six as road favorites. The Rams came back down to earth with an 18-point loss last time out. They're an ugly 12-25-1 ATS (4-34 SU) their last 38, when listed as home underdogs in the 6.5 to 9 range. The Spiders are 7-5 ATS (9-3 SU) the past dozen times that they allowed 80 or more pts in their previous game. They've got a lot of matchup advantages in this one and I expect them to improve on those stats in blowout fashion. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NHL | Jan 18, 2022 Canucks vs Predators |
Predators -140 at SC Consensus |
Lost $140.0 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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I'm playing on NASHVILLE. The Canucks are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off three straight losses, the Predators are going to be in a foul mood. They're still 7-1 their last eight against teams from the West. While I may have won with the Canucks last game, they're still not playing well. They're at the end of a very long road trip, which dates back to last year. They're also still dealing with a number of missing players. Sure, the Preds played yesterday. They're still the much healthier team here though. Typically, when playing the second of b2b games, they've been on the road. They're at home tonight though; they only allow 2.4 gpg here. The Preds are 11-4 their last 15 against teams with a losing record. They're also 7-3 their last 10, after having dropped their previous three games. Expect them to get back on track, at Vancouver's expense. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Jan 18, 2022 Cal Poly vs CS Bakersfield |
CS Bakersfield -7 -108 at pinnacle |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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I'm playing on CSU BAKERSFIELD. The Mustangs were a dismal 1-15 in conference play last season, 4-20 overall. To their credit, they've already matched the four wins this season and have already won a Big West game. That said, it's still going to be another long season and tonight, they're in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Roadrunners have started 0-2 in conference play. With four of their next five on the road, they know that they absolutely need to take advantage of a visit from the Mustangs. The Mustangs managed 82 points last game. However, that was at home and they haven't shot well on the road. Also, note that they're 1-7 SU the past eight time that they scored 80 or more, in their previous game. While Cal Poly averages 60.3 ppg (39.8% fg) shooting on the road, Bakersfield averages 74.6 ppg (45.9% fg) at home. These teams met twice last January. The Roadrunners won by 13 and 17 points. I'm expecting another double-digit victory. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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Soccer | Jan 18, 2022 Chelsea vs Brighton & Hove Albion |
Chelsea -0½ -135 at Mirage |
Lost $135.0 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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I'm playing on CHELSEA. While the Blues won't be winning the league title, I expect them to be hungry for the victory today. Angry off the loss to Man. City, they haven't forgotten that Brighton stole precious points, by earning a late draw, against them to close out 2021. Including that result, Chelsea has 10 wins and three draws, in 13 all-time (league) matches against Brighton. That's the most that Chelsea has ever faced a team without losing. Note that Chelsea averages two goals per game and that Brighton averages one goal per game. With the Seagulls dealing with a number of key injuries, Chelsea will extend it's unbeaten streak in the series today. Only this time, the Blues won't settle for the draw. |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Age: 45 Background In "Outliers," Malcolm Gladwell asks the question: "What makes high achievers different?" Gladwell suggests that those at the top of their field have a number of similarities - that their upbringing (culture, family, what generation they came from, experiences) had much to do with their success. As a professional sports handicapper, Ben Burns is widely recognized as being "at the top of his field." A look at Ben's upbringing shows that he fits Gladwell's model to a tee. Exposed to the world of point spreads early and often as a child, Burns reached adulthood as the Internet was first beginning to explode, just as the first offshore sportsbooks were springing up. By that time he'd already spent thousands of hours learning and studying stats. From an early age it became apparent to family and friends that Ben wasn't a "typical" fan. At age 11, he was mentioned in a major newspaper (Toronto Star) for correctly predicting a high profile trade before the Major League Baseball trading deadline. (Winner of the contest got tickets to the All Star game.) Ben's father and uncles were always involved in a weekly NFL (ATS) pool. Some of Ben's earliest memories included that pool and his fascination with it. As soon as he was allowed to play, Ben demonstrated an uncanny ability to surprise the adults. Around this time, one of his uncles moved his casino business to the Caribbean. This was the environment which he came from. The caption underneath Ben's high-school graduation photo references Ben's love for betting on football. That's because he was famous throughout his school for annually winning the local football contest, along with the $1700 per year which was awarded to the champ. Coming of age right as the first sports books were coming online, Ben was fortunate to enjoy some success with his some of his early online sports betting endeavors. He did so well that the first shop he ever played at ended up refusing to take his hockey bets. Also, in the very early days of the Internet, Ben won an NBA playoff contest, put on by a company which was called NSS.net. The contest victory awarded him a trip for two to Las Vegas, $1000 cash, a limo at his disposal, free shows, hotel and live sports odds for a year. Not a bad prize for a kid in his early 20s. However, the bigger prize was that Ben was exposed to the world of "professional sports handicapping." Inspired by his personal success and encouraged by his peers, Ben first made his picks available to the public in 1998. Achievements in Handicapping/Sports Top Ranked NFL Handicapper From the years of 1998-2007, Ben's selections were independently documented at one of the Internet's earliest and most respected sports monitors, Big Guy Sports. During that time, Ben earned literally dozens of documented Top 3 finishes in football, basketball, baseball AND hockey, including numerous #1 titles. Competing against a field of 150 of the biggest names in the industry, he ranked as the #1 NFL handicapper in the existence of that sports monitor, in their All-Time rankings. No competing handicapping service ever came close to matching his NFL record. In fact, Ben also ranked as the #1 combined NFL/NCAA football handicapper. 10 Straight Super Bowl Winners A big part of the reason for Ben's #1 NFL titles was his annual success in the playoffs. He fared particularly well with his Super Bowl selections. In fact, from 1999-2007, he released 10 Super Bowl picks (3 Sides, 7 totals) and went a perfect 10-0. (All selections independently documented.) In the middle of that 10-0 streak, in the 2002-2003 season, Ben won with both the Bucs and the "over" the year that they beat the Raiders. That win was particularly sweet as he predicted that Tampa would win the Super Bowl in a number of national magazines, prior to the season even starting. Fantasy Legend Ben got pretty seriously into the DFS world in 2014 and 2015. Recently, he was featured as "The High Roller" in the 2015 documentary, "Living the Fantasy." A regular fixture at Fan Duel and Draft Kings live championship events, Burns has taken down 6-figure scores in football, basketball AND baseball. While many of the other prominent DFS players come from a poker background, two decades as a sports handicapper provide a unique perspective. Biggest Win of 2016 The year has just begun but Ben has already enjoyed some notable wins. His "Bowl Game of the Year," which happened to be a total (WVU/ASU "over") saw the teams combine for 85 points and 1196 total yards, all of them in regulation. Closing out the campaign with wins on Clemson AND the "over" in the championship game was also rewarding. Systems Used For Handicapping Bruce Lee noted: "Man, the living creature, the creating individual, is always more important than any established style of system." Lee was known to talk about being shapeless, formless (like water) and ready to adapt to any situation. Likewise, Burns doesn't rely on any one particular methodology. Rather, he combines fundamental, technical and situational techniques, making use of any and all data, which he deems relevant to the situation. Ben does tend to pay particular attention to the 'situational' side of things. Among numerous other factors, this includes trying to determine when (and why) a team will be extra motivated ("pumped up") to play its best and also when a team may be ripe for a "letdown." Burns has a contrarian nature and this trait is often revealed in his selections. Betting Philosophy Ever adapting, Burns is just as likely to take points as he is to lay them. Over the years, he's played more "unders" than "overs" but that doesn't mean that he won't pull the trigger on an "over" when the time is right to do so. While many handicappers shy away from playing MLB/NHL favorites on the money-line, Ben has proven that one can be highly successful by doing so. For him, it’s all about value. If he can get a team at -130 that he likes and that believes should be -160, than that's a play.
Rating and Titles of Plays Ben uses a scale of 5-10 to show his level of confidence with each play. Plays may include "titles" in order to give users a better idea of what to expect. Some of those titles include: Personal Favorite - Strongest favorite (or pick'em game) in that sport for the day. Best Bet - Strongest underdog (or pick'em game) in that sport for the day, occasionally can be a total. Blue Chip Total - Strongest rated total in that sport/category for the day. Main Event - Big play which is featured on national television. Game Of The Week/Month/Year - Top rated side or total for that particular week/month/year. |
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