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Ben Burns |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
| NFL | Oct 24, 2021 Jets vs. Patriots |
Patriots -6½ -110 at WMHILL |
in 1d |
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Though I had a solid winning Week 6 overall, I lost a tough one with New England. The Patriots played a red hot Dallas team tough. For most of the game, things played out pretty much as I had expected them to. After a wild finish to the fourth quarter, New England got the ball first in OT. Getting more than a field goal, I liked my chances. Unfortunately, the Cowboys would go on to score a touchdown. Though I don't think the Jets are quite as bad as their record suggests, they're obviously a step down in class from Dallas. The Pats already handled them by a 25-6 score. The question becomes, how will New England respond to the difficult loss? Remember, the Pats were also off a tough loss (17-16 vs. Miami) the first time that they faced the Jets. Yet, they bounced back without an issue. Also, recall that they picked off Wilson four times in that game. With b2b road games on deck, followed by Cleveland, New England can't afford to squander this opportunity. If the line stays at a touchdown or less, consider laying the points. |
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| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Oct 22, 2021 Nets vs 76ers |
Nets -1 -107 at pinnacle |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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I'm playing on BROOKLYN. I played against the Nets in their opening night loss at Milwaukee. Off that beating, I expect the ultra talented Nets to bounce back tonight. Sure, there's no Irving. However, there's plenty of scoring between Harden and Durant. Though the season has only begun, Embiid is already dealing with knee soreness. If he can't go, or even if he plays at less than 100%, the 76'ers are in trouble. I won't count on him being out though. Even if they have a healthy Embiid, this is going to be a tough game for the 76'ers to win. The Nets have a bad taste in their mouths from last year. They get rid of it with a statement win, on ESPN, tonight. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NHL | Oct 22, 2021 Oilers vs Golden Knights |
Golden Knights -130 at William Hill |
Lost $130.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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I'm playing on VEGAS. The Knights still aren't 100% healthy. However, they're healthier than they've been. Tonight, they've got both the venue and the schedule in their favor. While the Knights are well-rested, the Oilers are off a win last night. To their credit, they've gotten off to a great start. However, this will be their third game in four nights and its also Friday night in Vegas. Remember, the team didn't play outside of Canada last year. This is the first chance for some of the players to get to Sin City in a while. It should be easy to be thinking ahead to what the rest of the evening might bring. Whether or not the city of Las Vegas proves to be a distraction, this is no easy place to play and the Knights are going to be very hungry. They've beaten the Oilers four of the past five meetings. They're also 20-10 (+7) their last 30, after scoring one goal or less in their previous game, 41-20 (+16.8) all time in that situation. The Oilers are 77-100 (-37.2) over the years, when off three or more straight wins. Knights win. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Oct 22, 2021 Red Sox vs Astros |
UNDER 9 -115 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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I'm playing on Boston/Houston UNDER the total. Expect a run of 'overs' to come to an end this evening. While Garcia didn't fare well at Houston last time out, he's got a 2.92 ERA and 1.054 WHIP in 14 home starts. Eleven of those games stayed below the total. Look for him to be much better. Eolvaldi has given up three runs or less in four straight starts, allowing a total of just six in those four games. Going back further finds that he's allowed three or fewer earned runs in 12 of his past 13 starts. The Yankees were the only team to score more against him during that stretch. The bullpens benefit from yesterday's day off. Expect a well-pitched affair. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Oct 22, 2021 Pelicans vs Bulls |
OVER 221 -108 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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I'm playing on NO/Chi OVER the total. These teams both saw their first game stay below the total. That's helped keep this number a little lower than it otherwise could have been. I believe that it'll prove to be too low. The Pelicans have seen the OVER go 15-5 their last 20 games against teams from the Central. Last season's two meetings between these teams had scores of 252 and 245. Those O/U lines were both in the 230s. We're working with a considerably lower number this evening. While the Bulls limited the Pistons to just 88 points, the OVER is 75% the past couple of seasons, when they held their previous opponent to less than 90 points. Expect another high-scoring affair. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NHL | Oct 22, 2021 Oilers vs Golden Knights |
UNDER 6½ -120 |
Lost $120.0 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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I'm playing on Edmonton/Vegas UNDER the total. This is a generously high O/U number. I believe it'll prove to be too high. While the Knights are slowly getting healthier, they're still missing some key offensive players, including Stone, Pacioretty and Tuch. One of the Vegas players who recently returned (Carrier) commented: "You've just got to regroup and find a way. Obviously, our two good scorers are out. Trying to just play well defensively and keep those games tight." Sure, the Oilers have McDavid. They're playing their second game in two nights here though. That's their first time in that situation this season. The last four games between these teams have all finished with six or fewer combined goals. Those games had scores of 3-2, 3-0, 4-2 and 3-0. Look for this one to also prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NHL | Oct 22, 2021 Sharks vs Maple Leafs |
Maple Leafs -200 at SC Consensus |
Lost $200.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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I'm playing on TORONTO. While they've been playing well, this is a very difficult spot for the Sharks. Not only are they playing at a tough venue, but they're also playing their second game in two nights. They managed a win at Ottawa last night but are now taking a significant step up in class. They're 4-13 the last 17 times that they played the second of b2b games. Unlike their guests, the Leafs are well-rested. Off an OT loss to the Rangers here in their last game, they're going to be hungry. The home team has won six of the past seven meetings. Look for the Leafs to have the fresher legs and for them to provide a reality check for these young Sharks. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-F | Oct 22, 2021 Memphis vs Central Florida |
Central Florida -2½ -110 at SC Consensus |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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I'm playing on UCF. The Tigers come in with the better record but the Knights are favored for good reason. While the Knights have lost three games, all three of those losses came on the road. While they would have liked to have won at Navy and Louisville, those were both very close losses. Also, there's no shame in losing at Cincinnati. At home, the Knights are 3-0, including a victory over Boise State. The Tigers have also struggled on the road. They've lost their last two road games; their only road win came at Arkansas State. The Red Wolves aren't good, yet the Tigers only won by five and they gave up 50 points. Going back further finds Memphis at 4-9 ATS its last 13 road games. While the Knights have had trouble covering larger spreads, this line is low enough that a SU victory should also result in an ATS win. That said, the Knights are 5-1 SU their last six off a conference loss and 11-2 SU their last 13 at home. Speaking of "homefield dominance," the Knights are 7-0 ATS their last seven as a host in this series. All seven wins came by at least a TD. Look for the Knights to continue their success here, avenging a tough loss at Memphis last year. |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Age: 45 Background In "Outliers," Malcolm Gladwell asks the question: "What makes high achievers different?" Gladwell suggests that those at the top of their field have a number of similarities - that their upbringing (culture, family, what generation they came from, experiences) had much to do with their success. As a professional sports handicapper, Ben Burns is widely recognized as being "at the top of his field." A look at Ben's upbringing shows that he fits Gladwell's model to a tee. Exposed to the world of point spreads early and often as a child, Burns reached adulthood as the Internet was first beginning to explode, just as the first offshore sportsbooks were springing up. By that time he'd already spent thousands of hours learning and studying stats. From an early age it became apparent to family and friends that Ben wasn't a "typical" fan. At age 11, he was mentioned in a major newspaper (Toronto Star) for correctly predicting a high profile trade before the Major League Baseball trading deadline. (Winner of the contest got tickets to the All Star game.) Ben's father and uncles were always involved in a weekly NFL (ATS) pool. Some of Ben's earliest memories included that pool and his fascination with it. As soon as he was allowed to play, Ben demonstrated an uncanny ability to surprise the adults. Around this time, one of his uncles moved his casino business to the Caribbean. This was the environment which he came from. The caption underneath Ben's high-school graduation photo references Ben's love for betting on football. That's because he was famous throughout his school for annually winning the local football contest, along with the $1700 per year which was awarded to the champ. Coming of age right as the first sports books were coming online, Ben was fortunate to enjoy some success with his some of his early online sports betting endeavors. He did so well that the first shop he ever played at ended up refusing to take his hockey bets. Also, in the very early days of the Internet, Ben won an NBA playoff contest, put on by a company which was called NSS.net. The contest victory awarded him a trip for two to Las Vegas, $1000 cash, a limo at his disposal, free shows, hotel and live sports odds for a year. Not a bad prize for a kid in his early 20s. However, the bigger prize was that Ben was exposed to the world of "professional sports handicapping." Inspired by his personal success and encouraged by his peers, Ben first made his picks available to the public in 1998. Achievements in Handicapping/Sports Top Ranked NFL Handicapper From the years of 1998-2007, Ben's selections were independently documented at one of the Internet's earliest and most respected sports monitors, Big Guy Sports. During that time, Ben earned literally dozens of documented Top 3 finishes in football, basketball, baseball AND hockey, including numerous #1 titles. Competing against a field of 150 of the biggest names in the industry, he ranked as the #1 NFL handicapper in the existence of that sports monitor, in their All-Time rankings. No competing handicapping service ever came close to matching his NFL record. In fact, Ben also ranked as the #1 combined NFL/NCAA football handicapper. 10 Straight Super Bowl Winners A big part of the reason for Ben's #1 NFL titles was his annual success in the playoffs. He fared particularly well with his Super Bowl selections. In fact, from 1999-2007, he released 10 Super Bowl picks (3 Sides, 7 totals) and went a perfect 10-0. (All selections independently documented.) In the middle of that 10-0 streak, in the 2002-2003 season, Ben won with both the Bucs and the "over" the year that they beat the Raiders. That win was particularly sweet as he predicted that Tampa would win the Super Bowl in a number of national magazines, prior to the season even starting. Fantasy Legend Ben got pretty seriously into the DFS world in 2014 and 2015. Recently, he was featured as "The High Roller" in the 2015 documentary, "Living the Fantasy." A regular fixture at Fan Duel and Draft Kings live championship events, Burns has taken down 6-figure scores in football, basketball AND baseball. While many of the other prominent DFS players come from a poker background, two decades as a sports handicapper provide a unique perspective. Biggest Win of 2016 The year has just begun but Ben has already enjoyed some notable wins. His "Bowl Game of the Year," which happened to be a total (WVU/ASU "over") saw the teams combine for 85 points and 1196 total yards, all of them in regulation. Closing out the campaign with wins on Clemson AND the "over" in the championship game was also rewarding. Systems Used For Handicapping Bruce Lee noted: "Man, the living creature, the creating individual, is always more important than any established style of system." Lee was known to talk about being shapeless, formless (like water) and ready to adapt to any situation. Likewise, Burns doesn't rely on any one particular methodology. Rather, he combines fundamental, technical and situational techniques, making use of any and all data, which he deems relevant to the situation. Ben does tend to pay particular attention to the 'situational' side of things. Among numerous other factors, this includes trying to determine when (and why) a team will be extra motivated ("pumped up") to play its best and also when a team may be ripe for a "letdown." Burns has a contrarian nature and this trait is often revealed in his selections. Betting Philosophy Ever adapting, Burns is just as likely to take points as he is to lay them. Over the years, he's played more "unders" than "overs" but that doesn't mean that he won't pull the trigger on an "over" when the time is right to do so. While many handicappers shy away from playing MLB/NHL favorites on the money-line, Ben has proven that one can be highly successful by doing so. For him, it’s all about value. If he can get a team at -130 that he likes and that believes should be -160, than that's a play.
Rating and Titles of Plays Ben uses a scale of 5-10 to show his level of confidence with each play. Plays may include "titles" in order to give users a better idea of what to expect. Some of those titles include: Personal Favorite - Strongest favorite (or pick'em game) in that sport for the day. Best Bet - Strongest underdog (or pick'em game) in that sport for the day, occasionally can be a total. Blue Chip Total - Strongest rated total in that sport/category for the day. Main Event - Big play which is featured on national television. Game Of The Week/Month/Year - Top rated side or total for that particular week/month/year. |
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