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Ben Burns |
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| Ben is 19-13 +$2,600 since June 15th. Burns attacks the Saturday MLB board with gusto, starting with a 10* BREAKFAST CLUB, he also has an AFTERNOON ANNIHILATOR and BLUE MARLIN SPECIAL now available - RIDE THE WAVE! |
| FREE PICKS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
| MLB | Jun 25, 2017 Tigers vs. Padres |
Total 8½ -115 at BETONLINE |
in 10h |
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1* Free Play OVER Tigers/Padres. Jordan Zimmermann (5-5, 5.25 ERA) has been hit-or-miss all year for the Tigers, most recently he gave up three runs off six hits with three walks over six innings in a 5-4 loss to Seattle on Tuesday (he’s been at his worst on the road as well, 0-3 with a 5.98 ERA). Like his counterpart today, Clayton Richard (5-7, 4.20) comes in off a decent outing, giving up two runs off five hits and three walks over six innings in a loss to the Cubs on Monday, not factoring into the decision. Starts like that though have been few and far between for the veteran though, who owns a pedestrian 4.21 ERA at home this year. Recent form exhibited by both starters suggests we’ll have a bit of a “slug-fest” on our hands in this one. Consider the over. |
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| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jun 24, 2017 Rockies vs Dodgers |
Dodgers -243 at betonline |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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6* BLUE MARLIN on the LA Dodgers. I think Clayton Kershaw and the home side are well worth the price of admission in this particular matchup. Tyler Chatwood (6-7, 4.08 ERA) gave up two runs off five hits and four walks over six innings in a no-decision to the Giants on Sunday. Chatwood has been decent of late and has been better on the road than at home, but note that the Rockies have struggled in this spot already this season, just 1-2 (-0.5 units) as a road dog in the +175 to +250 range. Kershaw (10-2, 2.61) is simply on another level than Chatwood and he most recently picked up a win against the Mets despite not being at his best by allowing six runs over seven innings, walking one and striking out ten. Kershaw has given up a few more home runs than usual, but his 115:17 K:BB keeps him among the very elite in the league (note that he’s 7-2 with a 2.77 ERA in all “night” games this year, while LA is 32-19 +4.7 units in all night contests). Kershaw and the Dodgers roll. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jun 24, 2017 Reds vs Nationals |
Nationals -136 at betonline |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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8* ANNIHILATOR on Washington Nationals. Joe Ross has looked brilliant at times this year and really poor in others. However, I think he still has a big advantage over Homer Bailey, who draws a tough assignment in his season debut. Bailey had elbow surgery in February. Last year he was 2-2 with a 5.74 ERA on the road. Ross (3-3, 5.98) comes in off his second quality start out of his last three trips to the hill, giving up four runs (two earned) with one walk while striking out four over six innings in a loss to the Mets on Sunday (note that Ross is 3-0 with a 3.98 ERA in all “night” games). Bailey is going to be under a pitch count, which doesn’t bode well against the league’s No. 1 offense. I like Washington to roll in this one. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jun 24, 2017 Blue Jays vs Royals |
Royals -119 at betonline |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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10* BREAKFAST CLUB on Kansas City Royals. Marco Estrada (4-5, 4.98 ERA) has for the most part been a disaster for the Blue Jays this year, most recently giving up six runs off seven hits and four walks over 3.2 innings in a win over the Rangers on Monday, fortunate to receive a no-decision. Over his last 16.1 innings of work Estrada has now allowed 23 runs spanning four starts (he’s been particularly bad on the road as well, just 2-3 with a 4.98 ERA). Jason Vargas (10-3, 2.27) has for the most part been spectacular for the Royals this season, he most recently gave up three runs off eight hits and two walks with three K’s over six innings in a victory over the Angels on Sunday. Vargas comes in on top form having won five straight, while allowing three runs or less in all five. Over his last 32.2 innings Vargas has walked just seven batters while posting a 2.14 ERA (and note that he’s been at his best at home as well, just 5-1 with a 1.81 ERA). The Jays are a horrible 5-12 (-10.5 units) this year against southpaws, while KC is 27-25 (+5.7 units) against right-handed starters. Royals roll. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jun 24, 2017 Pirates vs Cardinals |
OVER 8½ -110 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Free | ||
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1* FREE PLAY over Pirates/Cardinals. Recent form exhibited by these starting pitchers suggests we’ll have a bit of a “slug-fest” on our hands Saturday night. Gerrit Cole (5-6, 4.28 ERA) enters off his best start of the season, giving up one run off three hits and two walks over seven innings in a victory over the Brewers on Monday. Cole has been hit-or-miss all year though, looking briliant at times and very poor in others (note that he’s been at his worst on the road as well, just 3-4 with a 5.01 ERA.) Lance Lynn (5-4, 3.33) was rocked for seven runs off nine hits and two walks while striking out five over 4.2 innings in a loss to the Orioles on Sunday. Lynn now owns a poor 1.8 HR/9 and his 5.37 FIP points to possible rockier times ahead. It appears as if these two inconsistent starters could get chased early, so consider the over. |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Age: 42 Background In "Outliers," Malcolm Gladwell asks the question: "What makes high achievers different?" Gladwell suggests that those at the top of their field have a number of similarities - that their upbringing (culture, family, what generation they came from, experiences) had much to do with their success. As a professional sports handicapper, Ben Burns is widely recognized as being "at the top of his field." A look at Ben's upbringing shows that he fits Gladwell's model to a tee. Exposed to the world of point spreads early and often as a child, Burns reached adulthood as the Internet was first beginning to explode, just as the first offshore sportsbooks were springing up. By that time he'd already spent thousands of hours learning and studying stats. From an early age it became apparent to family and friends that Ben wasn't a "typical" fan. At age 11, he was mentioned in a major newspaper (Toronto Star) for correctly predicting a high profile trade before the Major League Baseball trading deadline. (Winner of the contest got tickets to the All Star game.) Ben's father and uncles were always involved in a weekly NFL (ATS) pool. Some of Ben's earliest memories included that pool and his fascination with it. As soon as he was allowed to play, Ben demonstrated an uncanny ability to surprise the adults. Around this time, one of his uncles moved his casino business to the Caribbean. This was the environment which he came from. The caption underneath Ben's high-school graduation photo references Ben's love for betting on football. That's because he was famous throughout his school for annually winning the local football contest, along with the $1700 per year which was awarded to the champ. Coming of age right as the first sports books were coming online, Ben was fortunate to enjoy some success with his some of his early online sports betting endeavors. He did so well that the first shop he ever played at ended up refusing to take his hockey bets. Also, in the very early days of the Internet, Ben won an NBA playoff contest, put on by a company which was called NSS.net. The contest victory awarded him a trip for two to Las Vegas, $1000 cash, a limo at his disposal, free shows, hotel and live sports odds for a year. Not a bad prize for a kid in his early 20s. However, the bigger prize was that Ben was exposed to the world of "professional sports handicapping." Inspired by his personal success and encouraged by his peers, Ben first made his picks available to the public in 1998. Achievements in Handicapping/Sports Top Ranked NFL Handicapper From the years of 1998-2007, Ben's selections were independently documented at one of the Internet's earliest and most respected sports monitors, Big Guy Sports. During that time, Ben earned literally dozens of documented Top 3 finishes in football, basketball, baseball AND hockey, including numerous #1 titles. Competing against a field of 150 of the biggest names in the industry, he ranked as the #1 NFL handicapper in the existence of that sports monitor, in their All-Time rankings. No competing handicapping service ever came close to matching his NFL record. In fact, Ben also ranked as the #1 combined NFL/NCAA football handicapper. 10 Straight Super Bowl Winners A big part of the reason for Ben's #1 NFL titles was his annual success in the playoffs. He fared particularly well with his Super Bowl selections. In fact, from 1999-2007, he released 10 Super Bowl picks (3 Sides, 7 totals) and went a perfect 10-0. (All selections independently documented.) In the middle of that 10-0 streak, in the 2002-2003 season, Ben won with both the Bucs and the "over" the year that they beat the Raiders. That win was particularly sweet as he predicted that Tampa would win the Super Bowl in a number of national magazines, prior to the season even starting. Fantasy Legend Ben got pretty seriously into the DFS world in 2014 and 2015. Recently, he was featured as "The High Roller" in the 2015 documentary, "Living the Fantasy." A regular fixture at Fan Duel and Draft Kings live championship events, Burns has taken down 6-figure scores in football, basketball AND baseball. While many of the other prominent DFS players come from a poker background, two decades as a sports handicapper provide a unique perspective. Biggest Win of 2016 The year has just begun but Ben has already enjoyed some notable wins. His "Bowl Game of the Year," which happened to be a total (WVU/ASU "over") saw the teams combine for 85 points and 1196 total yards, all of them in regulation. Closing out the campaign with wins on Clemson AND the "over" in the championship game was also rewarding. Systems Used For Handicapping Bruce Lee noted: "Man, the living creature, the creating individual, is always more important than any established style of system." Lee was known to talk about being shapeless, formless (like water) and ready to adapt to any situation. Likewise, Burns doesn't rely on any one particular methodology. Rather, he combines fundamental, technical and situational techniques, making use of any and all data, which he deems relevant to the situation. Ben does tend to pay particular attention to the 'situational' side of things. Among numerous other factors, this includes trying to determine when (and why) a team will be extra motivated ("pumped up") to play its best and also when a team may be ripe for a "letdown." Burns has a contrarian nature and this trait is often revealed in his selections. Betting Philosophy Ever adapting, Burns is just as likely to take points as he is to lay them. Over the years, he's played more "unders" than "overs" but that doesn't mean that he won't pull the trigger on an "over" when the time is right to do so. While many handicappers shy away from playing MLB/NHL favorites on the money-line, Ben has proven that one can be highly successful by doing so. For him, it’s all about value. If he can get a team at -130 that he likes and that believes should be -160, than that's a play.
Rating and Titles of Plays Ben uses a scale of 5-10 to show his level of confidence with each play. Plays may include "titles" in order to give users a better idea of what to expect. Some of those titles include: Personal Favorite - Strongest favorite (or pick'em game) in that sport for the day. Best Bet - Strongest underdog (or pick'em game) in that sport for the day, occasionally can be a total. Blue Chip Total - Strongest rated total in that sport/category for the day. Main Event - Big play which is featured on national television. Game Of The Week/Month/Year - Top rated side or total for that particular week/month/year. |
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