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Ben Burns |
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| Ben followed up a rare rough Saturday with a 2-2 split Sunday. He's now 40-16 the past seven weekends, 73-39 the past six weeks overall. |
| FREE PICKS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
| MLB | Aug 02, 2021 Giants vs. Diamondbacks |
Total 9 -115 at CONSENSUS |
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Arizona gave up 13 runs yesterday and should allow some more today. Five of the past seven meetings have reached double-digits. Those seven games had an average of 13 runs scored. Widener has a 7.81 ERA and an 1.884 WHIP his past three starts. He gave up five runs in 3 2/3 innings in his most recent outing, walking five in the process. DeSclafani wasn't very sharp last time out either. In fact, he allowed four runs in 2 2/3 innings. Consider the Over. Ben followed up a rare rough Saturday with a 2-2 split Sunday. He's now 40-16 the past seven weekends, 73-39 the past six weeks overall. Short term winning streaks are great, it's his LONG TERM CONSISTENCY, especially with big plays, which separates Ben from the crowd.Make sure you're on board Ben's BIGGEST DIVISIONAL PLAY this month. It goes today! |
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| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Aug 01, 2021 Phillies vs Pirates |
Phillies -133 at pinnacle |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Free | ||
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The Phillies' chances of making the playoffs have taken a hit the past couple of days. They can't afford another loss to the lowly Pirates. While walks were an issue, Gibson got back on track with a 'quality start' last time out. He's still got a very solid 2.87 ERA on the season. That's a lot more than Keller can claim. He's 3-7 with a 7.04 ERA. In eight "home" starts, he's got a terrible 8.48 ERA and 2.128 WHIP. Consider Philadelphia. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Aug 01, 2021 Red Sox vs Rays |
UNDER 8½ -108 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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I'm playing on Boston/TB UNDER the total. While its been a relatively high-scoring series, I'm expecting better pitching this evening. After b2b games against the Jays, Pivetta will be happy to see the Rays. He last faced Tampa on 6/24. Not only did he go 6 2/3 shutout innings, he didn't allow a single hit. He had eight K's against two walks. The final score was 1-0. Note that Pivetta also allowed zero runs on only two hits, when he faced the Rays in the spring. McClanahan, meanwhile, is off another quality start. He held the Yankees to three runs through six innings. That's eight straight starts with three runs or less. In fact, he's allowed four runs or less in all 15 starts on the season, three or less in 13 of those. Look for the final score to prove lower than many will be expecting. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Aug 01, 2021 Orioles vs Tigers |
OVER 10 -103 |
Lost $103.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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I'm playing on Baltimore/Detroit OVER the total. Yesterday's game proved lower-scoring than expected but the bats should come alive this afternoon. Watkins gave up nine hits in just four innings last time out, one of them leaving the yard. Three of his four starts have hit double-digits. Alexander gave up five runs in four innings last time out, getting taken deep twice in the process. Three of his last four starts have finished with greater than 10 runs, the other landed on nine. Neither bullpen is very good. While there's a chance at a delay, it shouldnt prevent the game for completing. Indeed, the weather should be great for hitting. Hot and humid with the wind blowing out to left center. This one hits double-digits. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Aug 01, 2021 Rockies vs Padres |
Padres -165 at pinnacle |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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I'm playing on SD. At first glance, one might think the Rockies could have an advantage in this one. Gomber has admittedly been pretty good while it looks like more of a bullpen day for the Padres. However, upon closer review, the Padres bullpen is actually really good and they've already had three looks at Gomber in the past few months. Additionally, it should be mentioned that Gomber has made just two starts since returning from injury and that he's allowed four HR's in those two games. The Padres, 18-9 vs. southpaw starters, can't afford to get swept by a Rockies team which is normally terrible on the road. Sure, its been a tough few days with the Tatis injury and not getting a big name starter at the deadline. Still, this team remains loaded. Expect them to bounce back. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Aug 01, 2021 Reds vs Mets |
Mets -165 at Mirage |
Lost $165.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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I'm playing on NY. Off a momentum-building comeback win, the Mets should have the advantage this afternoon. With a 2.63 ERA through 21 starts, Stroman has been sharp all season. He just dominated the Reds two starts ago. In fact, he allowed only one hit through eight shutout innings. The Mets won 7-0. On the other hand, Gutierrez has a 4.75 ERA through 11 starts and he just got pounded by the Mets. In that 7/19 game, he was taken deep three times, giving up nine hits and six runs in just four innings. He managed only one strikeout. While the Reds could badly use a victory, they'll have to wait. Mets roll. |
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| PICKS IN PROGRESS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Aug 02, 2021 Phillies vs Nationals |
Phillies -112 at pinnacle |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. (ACTION) I really like what I saw from the Phillies yesterday. In a game they needed to win, they got solid pitching and scored a ton. They'd finish with 20 hits and 15 runs. I expect them to carry the positive momentum into Monday's series opener against the Nationals. The Phillies' starting rotation has changed, due to the recent acquisitions. Gibson delivered in his debut yesterday and now we'll see Ranger Suarez get his turn in the rotation. He'd previously been working out of the bullpen, where he's got outstanding (1.12 ERA, 0.87 WHIP in 27 appearances) numbers, but now becomes a starter, thanks to Kennedy moving into his spot in the bullpen. As Joe Girardi noted: "We've always envisioned Ranger as a starter ... Ranger's done a really good job in whatever role we've put him in. Of course, Suarez won't go too deep, with this being his first start of the season. That's why getting 6 2/3 innings out of Gibson was important yesterday. The bullpen wasn't too taxed. We saw what the Padres did in what was essentially a bullpen day yesterday. Knehr may have only gone three innings but he also only allowed two hits. Josiah Gray is expected to go for Washington and he's got an ugly 6.75 ERA in two appearances. In other words, Suarez should get some solid support. The Phillies are desperately trying to catch the Mets while the Nats are now essentially playing out the string. Philadelphia draws first blood. |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Age: 45 Background In "Outliers," Malcolm Gladwell asks the question: "What makes high achievers different?" Gladwell suggests that those at the top of their field have a number of similarities - that their upbringing (culture, family, what generation they came from, experiences) had much to do with their success. As a professional sports handicapper, Ben Burns is widely recognized as being "at the top of his field." A look at Ben's upbringing shows that he fits Gladwell's model to a tee. Exposed to the world of point spreads early and often as a child, Burns reached adulthood as the Internet was first beginning to explode, just as the first offshore sportsbooks were springing up. By that time he'd already spent thousands of hours learning and studying stats. From an early age it became apparent to family and friends that Ben wasn't a "typical" fan. At age 11, he was mentioned in a major newspaper (Toronto Star) for correctly predicting a high profile trade before the Major League Baseball trading deadline. (Winner of the contest got tickets to the All Star game.) Ben's father and uncles were always involved in a weekly NFL (ATS) pool. Some of Ben's earliest memories included that pool and his fascination with it. As soon as he was allowed to play, Ben demonstrated an uncanny ability to surprise the adults. Around this time, one of his uncles moved his casino business to the Caribbean. This was the environment which he came from. The caption underneath Ben's high-school graduation photo references Ben's love for betting on football. That's because he was famous throughout his school for annually winning the local football contest, along with the $1700 per year which was awarded to the champ. Coming of age right as the first sports books were coming online, Ben was fortunate to enjoy some success with his some of his early online sports betting endeavors. He did so well that the first shop he ever played at ended up refusing to take his hockey bets. Also, in the very early days of the Internet, Ben won an NBA playoff contest, put on by a company which was called NSS.net. The contest victory awarded him a trip for two to Las Vegas, $1000 cash, a limo at his disposal, free shows, hotel and live sports odds for a year. Not a bad prize for a kid in his early 20s. However, the bigger prize was that Ben was exposed to the world of "professional sports handicapping." Inspired by his personal success and encouraged by his peers, Ben first made his picks available to the public in 1998. Achievements in Handicapping/Sports Top Ranked NFL Handicapper From the years of 1998-2007, Ben's selections were independently documented at one of the Internet's earliest and most respected sports monitors, Big Guy Sports. During that time, Ben earned literally dozens of documented Top 3 finishes in football, basketball, baseball AND hockey, including numerous #1 titles. Competing against a field of 150 of the biggest names in the industry, he ranked as the #1 NFL handicapper in the existence of that sports monitor, in their All-Time rankings. No competing handicapping service ever came close to matching his NFL record. In fact, Ben also ranked as the #1 combined NFL/NCAA football handicapper. 10 Straight Super Bowl Winners A big part of the reason for Ben's #1 NFL titles was his annual success in the playoffs. He fared particularly well with his Super Bowl selections. In fact, from 1999-2007, he released 10 Super Bowl picks (3 Sides, 7 totals) and went a perfect 10-0. (All selections independently documented.) In the middle of that 10-0 streak, in the 2002-2003 season, Ben won with both the Bucs and the "over" the year that they beat the Raiders. That win was particularly sweet as he predicted that Tampa would win the Super Bowl in a number of national magazines, prior to the season even starting. Fantasy Legend Ben got pretty seriously into the DFS world in 2014 and 2015. Recently, he was featured as "The High Roller" in the 2015 documentary, "Living the Fantasy." A regular fixture at Fan Duel and Draft Kings live championship events, Burns has taken down 6-figure scores in football, basketball AND baseball. While many of the other prominent DFS players come from a poker background, two decades as a sports handicapper provide a unique perspective. Biggest Win of 2016 The year has just begun but Ben has already enjoyed some notable wins. His "Bowl Game of the Year," which happened to be a total (WVU/ASU "over") saw the teams combine for 85 points and 1196 total yards, all of them in regulation. Closing out the campaign with wins on Clemson AND the "over" in the championship game was also rewarding. Systems Used For Handicapping Bruce Lee noted: "Man, the living creature, the creating individual, is always more important than any established style of system." Lee was known to talk about being shapeless, formless (like water) and ready to adapt to any situation. Likewise, Burns doesn't rely on any one particular methodology. Rather, he combines fundamental, technical and situational techniques, making use of any and all data, which he deems relevant to the situation. Ben does tend to pay particular attention to the 'situational' side of things. Among numerous other factors, this includes trying to determine when (and why) a team will be extra motivated ("pumped up") to play its best and also when a team may be ripe for a "letdown." Burns has a contrarian nature and this trait is often revealed in his selections. Betting Philosophy Ever adapting, Burns is just as likely to take points as he is to lay them. Over the years, he's played more "unders" than "overs" but that doesn't mean that he won't pull the trigger on an "over" when the time is right to do so. While many handicappers shy away from playing MLB/NHL favorites on the money-line, Ben has proven that one can be highly successful by doing so. For him, it’s all about value. If he can get a team at -130 that he likes and that believes should be -160, than that's a play.
Rating and Titles of Plays Ben uses a scale of 5-10 to show his level of confidence with each play. Plays may include "titles" in order to give users a better idea of what to expect. Some of those titles include: Personal Favorite - Strongest favorite (or pick'em game) in that sport for the day. Best Bet - Strongest underdog (or pick'em game) in that sport for the day, occasionally can be a total. Blue Chip Total - Strongest rated total in that sport/category for the day. Main Event - Big play which is featured on national television. Game Of The Week/Month/Year - Top rated side or total for that particular week/month/year. |
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