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Stephen Nover |
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| I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst. |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NHL | Mar 01, 2021 Hurricanes vs Panthers |
OVER 6 -109 |
Lost $109.0 |
| Play Type: Free | ||
| These are two offensive-minded teams as was displayed this past Saturday night when the Hurricanes edged the Panthers, 4-3, in a shootout. Things were quiet on the scoring column until the teams exploded for five goals in the third period. It was the fourth consecutive time the Over has cashed when Carolina and the Panthers have met in Florida. Carolina ranks in the top-eight in the league in goals, shots on goal and power play percentage. The Hurricanes would have even better numbers, but they had just lost three straight games to the defending Stanley Cup champion Lightning before their Saturday game against the Panthers. The Lightning held Carolina to a total of three goals during those three games. The Panthers take the most shots in the NHL. They rank in the top-10, too, in goals and power play percentage. Florida has scored three or more goals in six of its last eight games while Carolina has surrendered at least three goals in 14 of its past 15 games. (Editor's note: Stephen Nover's Monday card is headed by his NBA Game of the Year. Stephen also has a second NBA play, a second NHL total and one college basketball sides play. All of Stephen's plays come with his trademark unique analysis.) | ||
| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NHL | Mar 01, 2021 Avalanche vs Sharks |
OVER 6 -116 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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I don't want to overreact to the Sharks' last game, a 7-6 home loss to the Blues this past Saturday. But it's hard not to. Only the Sharks could score six goals - and lose in regulation. San Jose has 13 goals in its last three games and only one victory to show for that. It's because the Sharks have the worst defense in the NHL. They have permitted 3 or more goals in 15 of their 18 games this season. Colorado is giving up an average of 3.2 goals during its last four games. So it's not difficult envisioning each team giving up three goals apiece. That actually would be an improvement for the Sharks since they give up 3.9 goals per game. The Over is 11-2-1 the last 14 times these teams have played each other in San Jose. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Mar 01, 2021 Hampton vs Radford |
Hampton +8½ -105 at linepros |
Lost $105.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Hampton's season is on the line with this being a quarterfinal game in the Big South Conference Tournament. I think the Pirates will keep this close especially since Radford hasn't been playing well. Radford is 1-4 in its last five games with its lone victory during this time frame coming against Mt. Aloysius, a non-Division I opponent. Radford has averaged only 54.2 points during their past four losses. Hampton has a decent backcourt and the best low-post player on the court, Dajour Dickens. The 7-footer ranks second in the nation in blocked shots averaging 3.48 per game. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Mar 01, 2021 Hornets vs Blazers |
Blazers -6½ -110 at Mirage |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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The timing is terrible for Charlotte in this matchup. The Hornets pulled off a miracle victory on Sunday night nipping the Kings, 127-126. Charlotte trailed by eight points with 53 seconds left. But a combination of Hornets grit and the incompetent Kings choking allowed Charlotte to steal a victory. Even more remarkable is the Hornets pulled this win out despite not having Gordon Hayward nor Cody Zeller. Hayward is Charlotte's leading scorer while Zeller is their best big man. Both are injured. The Hornets' reward? They have to play again tonight at Portland, a place where they have lost the past 12 times going 2-10 ATS. This will be the Hornets' third road game in four days. Portland was idle this past weekend after losing, 102-93, on the road to the Lakers this past Friday. That was the Trail Blazers' fourth loss in a row. Portland's last three defeats, though, have all been on the road to excellent Western Conference teams - Lakers, Nuggets and Suns. The spot sets up perfectly for the Trail Blazers to stop their losing skid in grand style. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Mar 01, 2021 Mavs vs Magic |
Magic +7 -108 at linepros |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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I rank Luka Doncic among the five best players in the NBA. The guy is like a modern day version of Oscar Robertson, who yes I did see back in the day. A triple-double machine. But while Doncic is elite, the Mavericks aren't. Dallas is a .500 team with the record to prove that - 16-16. So I don't see the Mavericks getting away with laying this many road points in a flat spot for them. The Mavericks are coming off an impressive 115-98 Saturday road victory against the Nets, which snapped Brooklyn's eight-game win streak. Dallas' last three games have been against the Celtics, 76ers and Nets. This is the conclusion of its three-game road trip. So I don't see the Mavericks producing another "A" game given the circumstances and motivational letdown facing a much weaker opponent than they've recently met. Historically, Dallas hasn't been good in this role going 5-16 ATS the last 21 times when facing a below .500 opponent. Let's examine the Magic's past six games. They beat improved Knicks and Warriors teams along with the Pistons. But in their last three games, they lost a rematch to the Pistons and were buried by the Nets and Jazz. No shame in losing to Brooklyn and Utah. Orlando was outclassed in those matchups. The Magic won't be so outclassed here and they are in stop-the-pain mode. Orlando actually gives up fewer points per game than Dallas. It's lack of scoring that really hurts the Magic. The combination of having Evan Fournier back - he missed the first meeting between the two teams that Dallas won, 112-98, on Jan. 9 - and the Mavericks' 22nd-ranked defense should help Orlando put up a respectable scoring number to keep this game close. |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 21 of 23 winning seasons. |
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