Alex Smart Alex Smart
Alex Smart Sports - Consistent Long term winning results. Get the info the books do not want you to have.
Alex Smart Sports- CFL LATE STEAM - Ti Cats @ Argos

The Hamilton Tiger Cats visit the Toronto Argos  in a Eastern Conference battle this Sunday in  Canadian Football League action . Join me as I explain which team has the ATS edge. Get the gridiron info the books do not want you to have. Tests documented long-term 20-13 61% run! 

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Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jun 24, 2017
Astros vs Mariners
-138 at GTBets
Play Type: Premium

Astros starter McCullers (6-1, 2.58 ERA) was 4-0 in May with a 0.99 ERA and 37 strikeouts in six starts before going on the disabled list with lower back problems. Now healthy again, the thrower looks to keep his stellar record intact vs the Seattle Mariners in game 2 of this series.McCullers is 4-2 in his career against the Mariners with a 2.14 ERA. He got the win against them April 4 in Houston, allowing one run and five hits in six innings of a 2-1 victory. Meanwhile, the Astros explosive offense that has averaged 6.6 rpg in road games, now goes against a rookie  right-hander Sam Gaviglio (3-1, 3.43 ERA).HOUSTON is 13-3  against the money line in road games vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.

Seattle banged Houston yesterday 13-3 and the Astros will now be out looking for redemption and  payback to even this series. I'm betting they get what they want.

SEATTLE is 11-21 L/32 against the money line after scoring 10 runs or more.HOUSTON is 12-4  against the money line in road games after a loss by 4 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.

MLB All underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 the Mariners - with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts are 23-84 for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors dating back 5 seasons. 

Play on the Houston Astros to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Matchup Selection W/L
WNBA  |  Jun 24, 2017
LA Sparks vs Indiana Fever
UNDER 168 -110 Won
Play Type: Premium

 My WNBA  Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched - relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.

Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jun 24, 2017
Reds vs Nationals
-149 at betonline
Play Type: Premium

Reds RH Homer Bailey (2016: 2-3, 6.65 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Joe Ross (3-3, 5.98)

Bailey the Reds starter who is coming off the disabled list, has the unenviable task of going  head to head with the first place Washington Nationals, who entered Friday leading the National League in hitting (.274), slugging (.472), OPS (.811), homers (110), extra-base hits (268), runs (398) and RBIs (390). Bailey is 1-3 with a 3.86 ERA in his career against Washington and 0-3, 5.40 at Nationals Park.Bailey struggled in six major-league turns last season, allowing  a total of 35 hits in 23 innings. Meanwhile, Washington will fire back with with right-hander Joe Ross (3-3, 5.98).Nationals are 5-1 in Ross' last 6 home starts.

Reds are 0-8 in Baileys last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.Reds are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Washington

I expect the Nats explosive offense beats up on the Reds Bailey, and despite of Ross also being a sub par hurler, the Nationals offense will trump any run out put the Reds register.

CINCINNATI is 3-17 L/20 against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game on the season this season and  0-10  against the money line in road games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games this season and is 1-11  against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive overs this season and 2-15 against the money line in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs this season.

  Play on the Washington Nationals to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jun 24, 2017
Rockies vs Dodgers
OVER 7 -110 Lost
Play Type: Premium

Rockies RH Tyler Chatwood (6-7, 4.08 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (10-2, 2.61)

The Dodgers offense continues to churn out runs and are off a 6-1 win yesterday vs Colorado. The Dodgers have averaged a whopping 8.6 rpg during a current 7 game span, and have averaged 5.7 rpg at home this season and today against Rockies starter Chatwood, who is is 6-7 with a 4.08 ERA on the season, I'm beting their offensive output surge continues.He faced the Dodgers in April and allowed six hits and five runs in 4 1/3 innings. Meanwhile, the Rockies sometimes explosive offense will face super star hurler Clayton Kershaw, who's name has become subliminally synonymous with a under pitcher for bettors. However, Kershaw has not been so perfect of late, as is evident by giving up 11 hits and four runs (three homers) against the Cubs, and last week allowed six hits, four of them home runs, and six runs to the Mets. Now its Colorado's turn to make Kershaw look human. the Rockies have averaged 5.2 rpg this season in offensive production via a .272 BA.

LA DODGERS are 15-6 OVER  in home games vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game this season with a combined average of 9.3 rpg scored.LA DODGERS are 22-11 OVER  after allowing 2 runs or less this season with a combined average sore of 9.2 rpg clicking in and are  12-3 OVER  after allowing 1 run or less this season with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. 

Over is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Over is 12-2 in Dodgers last 14 overall.Over is 7-1 in Kershaws last 8 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.Over is 5-2 in Kershaws last 7 home starts vs. Rockies.

MLB teams where the total is 7 or less like Colorado - with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities, with a struggling bullpen whose ERA is over 7.00 the last 10 games are 35-12 over dating back 20 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play OVER 1 unit reg selection 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jun 24, 2017
Cubs vs Marlins
-163 at betonline
Play Type: Premium

Cubs LH Jon Lester (4-4, 3.83 ERA) vs. Marlins LH Justin Nicolino (0-1, 5.06)

Marlins southpaw  starter Nicolino (0-1, 5.06 ERA) will make his fifth start of the season when he faces the Cubs this Saturday afternoon .Nicolino's numbers per nine innings this season are below average  --  hits allowed (11.3), HRS (2.3),  walks (3.9) and strikeouts (5.6). The Cubs after being shutout by 2-0 count yesterday will be ready to respond in a big way, and I am betting  Nicolinio will get shelled. The lefty made his first start in nearly three weeks last time out,  against Washington, allowing six runs (three earned) in three innings, including a pair of home runs.The Chicago Cubs have averaged 6.1 rpg vs LHP this season and own projections estimate a similar offensive output today.

Meanwhile, Chicago's starter LESTER has seen his team go 24-5 in starts against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .325 or worse dating back to last season. Lester has been in stable form of late, going 1-1 along with a 3.50 ERA in his L/3 starts, allowing 7 ERS over 18 inning including 22 strike outs.

MIAMI is 4-16 L/20 against the money line after a game with a combined score of 3 runs or less . 

I don;t make it a consistent habit to lay alot of lumber, but this spot warrants investing a few extra bucks.

Play on the Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline 1 unit reg selection 

Matchup Selection W/L
CFL  |  Jun 24, 2017
Edmonton vs BC
UNDER 58 -110 Won
Play Type: Premium

These offenses lineup to look pretty potent on paper, but in early season games, alot of kinks still have to be worked out and flow will still be a few weeks from being at a peak optimal point. I think this Total would have been more accurate after 3 games are played, but right now this Total looks weak, which makes for a viable under wager.

Under is 6-1 in Eskimos last 7 games as a road underdog of -3.0 or less.Under is 7-2 in Eskimos last 9 games as a road underdog.Under is 7-2 in Lions last 9 games in June.Under is 19-7 in Lions last 26 games as a favorite of 3.0 or less.

EDMONTON is 8-0 L/8 UNDER  in road games in June games with a combined average of 42.4 ppg going on the board.EDMONTON is 24-7 L/31 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 56.

 Play UNDER 1 unit reg selection 


Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 18 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 17 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigous event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.