#MLB Free Pick from Mike Lundin
Play: Over
Rating: 5/10*

Mike Lundin failed to make it four free pick winners in a row on Friday, but he's still 3-1 L4 free picks and Saturday's freebie looks like a clear cut case. 

The Cincinnati Reds have won just one of their last 13 games despite scoring a healthy amount of runs. Over is 21-10-4 in the Reds' road games on the season, and I think we'll see fireworks when they visit the Washington Nationals on Saturday.

The Nats won Friday's matchup 6-5 in extra innings and will most likely need plenty of runs again in order to win as they hand the ball to Joe Ross (3-3, 5.98 ERA). The right-hander has allowed nine runs (seven earned) on 18 hits through a combined 11 2/3 innings over his last two starts. 

The Reds turn to Homer Bailey who will make his first start of the season coming off an elbow surgery. He was 2-3 with a 6.65 ERA in six starts last year. I don't like his chances here against a Nats team that rank 2nd in the major leagues for runs scored on the season.  

Over is 10-1-2 in Reds last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Over is 9-2 in Nationals last 11 overall. Over is 6-1-1 in the last eight head-to-head meetings.

Free winners are always nice, but the BIG BUCKS are made with the premium picks. Join Mike Lundin with his two premium winners for Saturday. The first play of the day is his Top Rated 10* MLB *TOTAL OF THE DAY* featuring Blue Jays/Royals and the late 8*-rated selection features Mets vs. Giants. 

MLB *MONEYMAKER*
Play: NY Mets
Rating: 8/10*

The San Francisco Giants are just 1-8 in their last nine home games and took an 11-4 beating by the New York Mets last night. Tonight they'll have to try and solve the Mets' ace Jacob deGrom (6-3, 3.94 ERA) who has allowed just one earned run over 17 innings through his last two starts. He's 3-1 with a 3.62 ERA in five career starts versus the Giants who turn to Johnny Cueto (5-7, 4.42 ERA) who is 0-3 with a 4.56 ERA in four starts so far this month. 

Top Rated 10* MLB *TOTAL OF THE DAY*
Play: Under
Rating: 10/10*

The Kansas City Royals are heating up and enter Saturday as winners of 10 of their last 12 games. Left-hander Jason Vargas (10-3, 2.27 ERA) has been fantastic all season and posted a 2.20 ERA in his past five starts overall. Vargas has compiled a 1.81 ERA home at Kauffman Stadium. The Blue Jays hand the ball to Marco Estrada (4-5, 4.98 ERA) who has had a terrible June, going 0-3 with a 12.67 ERA in four starts. We can however note that Estrada is 1-1 with a 2.92 ERA in two career starts against the Royals, and I like him to come up with a big performance today. 

Under is 9-2 in Vargas' last 11 home starts. Under is 10-1 in Estradas last 11 starts vs. American League Central teams. Under is 5-0 in the last five head-to-head meetings.