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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Sep 24, 2020
Brewers vs Cardinals
Brewers
-133 at Buckeye
Lost
$133.0
Play Type: Top Premium

9* Milwaukee (8:15 ET): The Brewers can’t say that they don’t have a chance to play their way right into the postseason. Unfortunately for them, they just dropped two of three in Cincinnati, a costly result as they are now a full game back of where they need to be. However, they still largely control their own destiny due to facing St. Louis this weekend (for FIVE games). The Cardinals are one of FOUR teams that’s just a game up on the Brew Crew. Just to be clear, there are currently six teams within a game of .500 right now in the National League. Four of them will make the playoffs. The winner of this series is likely to be one of the four.

The Cards certainly didn’t boost their own postseason hopes when they dropped two of three in Kansas City. They lost 12-3 yesterday. Two of the three runs that they scored came in the ninth inning. Having just played 13 road games in 10 days, you’ve got to wonder what the Redbirds may have left in the tank this weekend as they get set to play their second 5-game series with the Brew Crew this season. Milwaukee won 3 of 5 at Miller Park earlier this month.

St. Louis will lean heavily on starter Kwang-Hyun Kim on Thursday. He’s pitched well in six starts, though he did just give up 4 runs his last time out and that was against last place Pittsburgh. The problem for Kim and the Cards is that Milwaukee starter Corbin Burnes has pitched just as well this season, if not better. Burnes tossed six scoreless innings his last time out and has 47 strikeouts his L5 starts. Even more impressive, he’s allowed just two runs (one unearned) in those five starts. For the year, Burnes now has a 1.25 ERA and 0.90 ERA. In a “must-win,” he’s exactly who the Brewers want on the mound in this situation. 9* Milwaukee

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Sep 24, 2020
Tigers vs Royals
Royals
-160 at sportsbook
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

10* Kansas City (8:05 ET): There are five teams in the American League Central. Three of them have already booked their tickets to the playoffs. These are the other two. While it may not seem like the Tigers and Royals have much to play for this weekend, the loser of this series will finish last in the division. Kansas City actually has a vastly superior run differential (-27 vs. -66), which tells me they are the team likely to have the successful series here. I’m grabbing them on the moneyline in Thursday’s opener.

There was a time when Detroit fancied itself as having a shot to make the playoffs. The (then) 8th place Yankees were slumping and the Tigers were within a game of the playoff cut line. Unfortunately, since then, they have not done much. The season took nasty turn with a 19-0 loss to Milwaukee (I had the Brewers in that one!) and overall the Tigers are now just 5-16 their L21 games. They’ve been shutout five times in that stretch. They’ve lost three in a row overall and five straight road games coming into tonight. Meanwhile, KC did a good job at playing “spoiler” earlier this week, taking two of three from St. Louis including a 12-3 win yday.

I definitely like tonight’s starting pitching matchup from the Royals perspective. While Kris Bubic has a 1-8 TSR, the reality is that he’s pitched much better than his record. He has a 1.56 ERA and 1.039 WHIP in his L3 starts. Last time out, he allowed just one run on one hit in 5 ⅓ innings and the run was unearned. Detroit is going with Michael Fulmer in this game and that’s almost an automatic “play against” at this point. Having yet to pitch more than three innings in any start, Fulmer remains winless in nine trips to the mound. He has a 8.17 ERA and 1.973 WHIP. He’s 2-5 with a 4.55 ERA in 10 previous starts vs. KC. 10* Kansas City

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Sep 24, 2020
Dolphins vs Jaguars
Jaguars
-2½ -126 at betonline
Lost
$126.0
Play Type: Top Premium

10* Jacksonville (8:20 ET): So much for “tanking.” The Jaguars have been far more competitive than was expected the first two weeks, knocking off Indianapolis here at home and then nearly upsetting Tennessee on the road. That 2-0 ATS start has them favored at home on a short week and honestly this is probably one of the few instances we’d ever consider laying points with the Jags. Miami, who ironically overachieved LY in what was supposed to be a “tanking” season, has looked poor in the first two games, especially on the defensive side of the ball. 

Some felt Miami was going to be able to contend in the AFC East this season. I did not. Two weeks in and their fans are already calling for Tua! Losses to the Patriots and Bills have been a “cold dose of reality” as both contests saw the Dolphins play from behind the whole way. The defense was atrocious last week as it allowed Buffalo to gain 8.9 yards per play! That’s good news for Jags QB Gardner Minshew II, who has been surprisingly efficient so far in completing over 75% of his passes. The Dolphins’ pass defense is at the bottom of the league right now. 

Jacksonville is 4-0 ATS in Thursday night home games. They could easily be 2-0 heading into this game, but missed an XP early in the 4Q LW at Tennessee and then gave up the GW FG in the final two minutes. Special teams play wasn’t good either and the defense didn’t create much pressure. But despite losing, the Jags outgained the Titans 480-354. I can’t see the Dolphins correcting their issues on a short week, playing on the road. 10* Jacksonville

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Sep 24, 2020
UAB vs South Alabama
UAB
-6½ -110 at sportsbook
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

10* UAB (7:30 ET): These teams are no strangers to playing on Thursday night. South Alabama opened its season on a Thursday with a 32-21 upset over Southern Miss as 12-point underdogs (Southern Miss’ coach then resigned). A week later, it was UAB’s turn to play on a Thursday and they lost 31-14 down in Miami. Considering who the opponent was, the Blazers need not hang their heads in shame over that result. While they are 0-2 ATS (also failed to cover in a win over Central Arkansas) and South Alabama is 2-0 ATS (almost upset Tulane in Week 2), this matchup favors the road team and I’ll lay the points in this one.

The last 3+ seasons have seen UAB win a total of 28 games and make B2B C-USA Title Game appearances. Keep in mind the program ceased to exist for the two years prior! HC Bill Clark has done a remarkable job here, considering that circumstance, and has one of the most experienced teams in the country in 2020. The 45-35 win over Central Arkansas was not as close as the final score indicates as the Blazers turned it over three times, but still had a 459-238 total yardage advantage. Two Central Arkansas’ TD drives were 15 yards or less and they had a defensive score as well. The Miami loss was simply a case of running into a better football team.

South Alabama is the kind of opponent UAB typically feasts on. The Jaguars won only TWO games LY. UAB is 4-1 ATS off a bye week as well as 18-3 SU (14-7 ATS) its L21 games as a favorite. They’ve also covered five of six against Sun Belt teams. While UAB did lose starting QB Tyler Johnston III to an injury (non-throwing shoulder), thankfully backup Bryson Lucero has seen action in both games thus far and is actually averaging more yards per attempt than Johnston was. South Alabama’s passing game - also using 2 different QB’s - has been effective thus far. But the UAB defense has yet to allow a 200+ yd passing day this season. South Alabama struggles to run the ball (3.4 YPC) and that will cost them here. 10* UAB

SERVICE BIO

The time has come for Bryan Power to EXPAND! Having achieved a tremendous amount of success, Power is expanding his reach in 2015 as he proudly announces the formation of Power Sports Picks (that's "PSP" for short). Power Sports Picks promises to deliver the same quality analysis (and same amount of winning) as before, only now with a FULL TEAM assembled, the SKY IS THE LIMIT!