ASA TOP PLAY 10* ON Winnipeg Jets Money Line +140 over Montreal at 7 PM ET - We successfully used Winnipeg in a 5-2 win over Vancouver on Tuesday as it was payback time for the Jets after that rare loss to the Canucks Monday.  Winnipeg, entering Monday's game, had won 4 straight games and 8 of their last 11 games.  The Canadiens are off a win as well but they had entered Tuesday night's game having lost 7 of 8 games.  This is clearly a case of two teams heading opposite directions for multiple weeks now and one game does not change all that.  The fact is that Jets goalie Connor Hellebuyck is known for being great in bounce back mode and he was in goal for Monday's loss to the Canucks.  Winnipeg's Hellebuyck is 6-1 this season when he starts a game in which he lost his prior start or in which the Jets are coming off a loss.  We'll take advantage of the line value here because the Canadiens have not responded all that well since the coaching change and still seem to be in a transitional cycle.  That said the big dog comeback price on Winnipeg here is an excellent value as this is the perfect spot to back a strong team facing an over-priced favorite that has still been shaky of late.  Take the JETS

ASA free play on Milwaukee Bucks -5.5 over Memphis Grizzlies, 7PM ET It is always a good idea to look at elite teams off a loss in the NBA which is the case here as the Bucks lost at home to Denver last time out. Milwaukee was coming off a big win over the Clippers the game before and could not put together two great outings in a row. Sticking to that theme the Bucks have been solid off a loss the past two seasons with a 21-13 SU record with an average Margin of Victory of +7.6PPG. Going back further the Bucks are 43-17 their last 60 off a loss, +9.6PPG. Memphis is 8-12 SU at home this year with the 23rd worst net point differential of minus -4.3PPG. Bucks 18-7 ATS their L25 following a loss of 10+ points. Grizzlies 2-5 ATS their last seven off a win and 1-4 ATS their last five as a home pooch. Easy call with a bounce back by Milwaukee.

ASA top play on 10* Phoenix Sun -6.5 over Golden State Warriors, 10PM ET - The Warriors could feel the effects of a close game last night in Portland where the key starters saw 30+ minutes of action, while the Suns were at home resting. Phoenix is coming off an impressive win over the Lakers in which Devin Booker was ejected in the 3rd quarter and the second unit played the majority of the 4th quarter in a convincing road win. Golden State relies heavily on Steph Curry to carry the offensive load while Draymond Green does all the dirty work on the defensive end of the court. The Warriors are 3-6 SU their last nine road games and have a loss here earlier this season by 21-points. The Warriors rank 23rd in the NBA with a negative road point differential of minus -4.3PPG. Phoenix is 11-6 SU at home and have the 3rd best average margin of victory at home of +7.2PPG. Both teams are near even when it comes to offensive statistics, but the Suns hold a decisive advantage defensively allowing 5 less points per game than Golden State and rank 2nd in the NBA in 3-point percentage defense. Golden State is 6-17-1 ATS their last 24 games playing without rest and that trend continues here.

#727 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Oklahoma State +11.5 over Baylor, Thursday at 7 PM ET - This is a really tough spot for a Baylor team that frankly isn’t playing to the dominant level they were earlier in the season. The Bears just beat West Virginia in OT on Tuesday night to clinch their first regular season Big 12 Title in 71 years! Now with their Big 12 tournament seeding set at #1, they have to play 48 hours later vs an Oklahoma State team that is playing their best basketball of the season. Baylor has played 3 games since returning from a 21 day covid break and as we mentioned, they haven’t been all that great. They rallied from 17 down to beat a bad Iowa State team (0-16 in the conference) by 5, lost by 13 @ Kansas, and then beat WVU in OT on Tuesday. They’ve hit only 43% of their shots over that 3 game stretch and they’ve been out rebounded in 2 of those games. Far from dominating. Okie State has won 8 of their last 10 including a sweep of a very good Oklahoma team their last 2 games. They’ve been impressive on the road with a 7-3 record including wins @ Oklahoma, @ Texas Tech, and @ Marquette. The Cowboys 3 road losses in Big 12 play have come by an average of 6 PPG. These two met in January when Baylor was destroying pretty much everyone and the Bears topped OSU by 15. The Cowboys played that game without their star freshman Cade Cunningham (20 PPG & 6 RPG) who might just be the #1 pick in this year’s NBA Draft. They were also without starter Rondel Walker who averages 9 PPG & 3 RPG. Prior to OSU losing earlier this year and obviously not at 100%, this was a tight series with the 4 match ups the last 2 seasons decided by 3, 4, 7, and 8 points. If this was Baylor’s final home game and Senior night, we might be reluctant to fade them even though this is a bad scheduling situation. However, they host Texas Tech this weekend for their home finale. We think OSU can give Baylor a big time scare here and taking the generous points is the play.