NFL  |  Sep 19, 2021
Patriots vs. Jets
-6 -103
in 2d

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: New England Patriots -6

The New England Patriots were as impressive as any 0-1 team last week.  They deserved to win the game but lost 16-17 at home to Miami after fumbling going in for what would have likely been the game-winning touchdown.

The Patriots racked up 393 total yards against a good Dolphins defense and averaged 5.6 yards per play.  They held the Dolphins to just 259 total yards and 5.0 yards per play, outgaining them by 134 yards for the game and 0.6 yards per play.  Mac Jones was impressive in his debut, completing 29-of-39 passes for 281 yards and a touchdown while only taking one sack.

The New York Jets 'only' lost on the road to the Carolina Panthers 19-14.  But keep in mind the Panthers were up 16-0 in that game and got pretty vanilla in the second half.  But the Panthers were all over Zach Wilson, who clearly has little help with this team.  The Jets only averaged 4.2 yards per play and managed 252 total yards while giving up 381 total yards and 6.0 yards per play.

Wilson just lost his best offensive lineman in Mekhi Becton to a season-ending injury last week, so he'll be running for his life again.  This is a Jets team with laundry list of injuries already with five offensive linemen on the IR.  They just lost one of their best defensive players in S Lamarcus Joyner last week to a season-ending injury as well.

There's just too much on rookie Wilson's shoulders in the early going.  And Bill Belichick not only dominates rookie quarterbacks, he is also tremendous coming off a loss.  Belichick is 57-34 ATS off a loss as the coach of New England.  He is 12-4 ATS in road games off a division loss as the coach of the Patriots.  He is also 29-14 ATS as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points as their head coach.  Bet the Patriots Sunday.

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NCAA-F  |  Sep 17, 2021
Central Florida vs. Louisville
70 -110
in 17h

1* Free Pick on Central Florida/Louisville under 70 -110

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

MLB  |  Sep 17, 2021
Phillies vs. Mets
7½ -104
in 16h

The MLB Comp Play for Friday is on the Under 7.5 runs in the Philadelphia at NY. Mets game at 7:30 eastern. Philly has Wheeler going and he has allowed 3 run in 13 innings this year pitching at Citi against hid former team. He opposes Mets righty T. Walker who has allowed 2 runs in 9 innings here against the Phillies here this year. The Mets have stayed under 11 of 14 on Fridays, 8 of 11 as a dog and 8 of 9 vs a pitcher with a 1.15 or less Whip. The Phillies ae 5 of 7 under vs teams under .500 and 5 of the last 6 here have played under the total. Look for this one to stay under. Rob V- Golden Contender Sports

NCAA-F  |  Sep 18, 2021
Mississippi State vs. Memphis
+3½ -110
  at  MIRAGE
in 1d

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #162 Memphis Tigers over Mississippi State Bulldogs (4p.m., Saturday, September 18 ESPN2) This line is an overaction to the Bulldogs win last week against NC State. The Wolfpack did not show up for that game, especially on offense and were shell-shocked for the entire 60 minutes after the Bulldogs ran back the opening kick for a touchdown. Their offense struggled to move the football and will be a much different setting today at the Liberty Bowl with no cow bells. Memphis can score points and I am not sure if the Bulldogs can keep pace with them. Mississippi State is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games against teams with a winning record at home. Memphis is 17-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 26 home games. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend football card featuring top plays on Saturday and Sunday. Sign-up now and let 50 years of handicapping experience work for you.